why are we waiting

My prejudice : LLM + ATP + sensory data types + spatial modelling = human limit

Another paradigm (loosely) :

Free association ~= set union operations ~= DMN of human brain does more of this ~= synthetic operations on data ~= LLM

Logic ~= set intersection operations ~= CEN of human bran does more of this ~= analytic operations on data ~= ATP

... DMN and CEN and SN : go see triple network model of brain

Here's my noob read on Hormuz

Policy map

• 1. USA : motivated primarily by xenophobia of Iranian independence, secondarily by appeasement of AIPAC/Israel; threatening to choke Iran 
• 2. Iran : motivated by xenophobia of US interference, directly or through GCC and Israeli proxies in the region; threatening to punch GCC/6 + Israel/7
• 3. GCC : motivated by pragmatism; unwilling to anger the US along a shared materialistic axis; sipping tea and complaining
• 4. Israel : motivated by imperial security; "I will stop attacking you if you, and your proxies stop attacking me"

Geography

• 1a. Kharg is indefensible no matter who holds it, so the US threat of occupation is a more useful tool than any US occupation itself
• 1b. Khorramshahr and the Shadegan Ponds seem like nice place to set up forward logistics. So they'd have to grab it via Basra ( Iraq ), near Kuwait, or something. Running exposed flank to Al Pakhsh looks crazy, but much easier if the US ships get into the Persian gulf
• 2a. A beachhead near Bandar Abbas comes with civilian infrastructure and hostages. Not sure if anyone wants another Fajullah.
• 2b. The US fleet is going to be stuck at the Oman gulf meanwhile.
• 3. Securing both 1 and 2 would be a critical development, if successful. But again threats are more useful at this point.

Play

• 1. The root of the situation is US-Iranian animosity. Deescalation of xenophobia is key
• 2. If the US and Iran deescalate, Israel becomes political collateral, just a bargaining chip
• 3. Israel doesn't want Iran to drop more crap on them, so it has to acquiesce to US leadership, if leadership picks this path
• 4. A axial shift from Iranian isolationism to Israeli isolationism in the region is probably the funnest idea to think about.

- random thoughts of a cipher

temporary inconveniences & maleducation

We the majority, living and working outside of geopolitical professions, usually dwell on trade, civil justice, and daily life technologies, conveniently ignoring the greatest scope of force projections. The cope is understandable. Most of us barely have time to think beyond family and friends, about city and state, let alone regional and global politics.

Every few years we are reminded by a few niggling inconveniences, such as the halving of purchasing power, that a few dozen men and their few hundred lackeys work - without pause, over decades - subjecting millions to disease, famine, physical pain, and their subsequent cognitive effects.

But as soon as our inconveniences subside, say next year, or in five, we the majority will once more forget about life beyond the next Netflix'n'chill, family dinner, business deal, or rave.

Such is the state of education in this point in history. Incomprehensive.