2023-05-19 at

Second Guesses

A large part of mental conditioning involves dealing with cognitive deficiencies. You don't know what you don't know, and subsequently you can't know that your instinct\subconscious is underperforming if ... your instinct\subconscious is weak. So you have to rely on trust mechanisms and a discipline of second-guessing yourself. This is truly hard.

For example when I am not in the mood for work, I am pretty much down to insufficient food, rest, or recreation. There is nothing else to blame. But acting accordingly, instead of getting distracted, I have not yet mastered.

2023-05-16 at

The mathematics of veracity \ episitemic statistics

Good morning. One of the three things I am studying in this period if life is commercial intuition. Let's how intuition works.

Subconscious conditioning : say, it takes R conscious reviews of a situation, S, to form a measured subconscious comprehension, C, of S. If R occurs over period, P, then C will tend to be valid for different future multiples, M, of P, based on the size of R. 

Thin-slicing skews the curve of R vs. M, or does it? When P is very small, thin-slicing is to raise R to a large number, resulting in a larger M.

Related : you can apply these patterns in the engineering of AIs also. For myself, I have rarely worked on AI, because I remain dissatisfied with my understanding of human intelligence. And I think any studies of HI will be applicable to AI, should the need ever arise for me to work on AI.

2023-05-14 at

Study prioritisation history, by age :


8-16, science & math
17-20, aesthetics & history
21-21, break
22-24, banking & consulting
25-28, startups & software
29-29, software for math
30-37, product, talent, & facilities management
38-39, corporate control & communications 
40 ... physique, network, & trading intuition