Loading [MathJax]/extensions/MathZoom.js

2024-12-24 at

Yield Curve Study Notes

 [ Loosening money Event -> More inflation soon -> Tight money soon ]

  • -> [ at the Short-end : 
    • { pre-Event coupons } are marginally Larger than { New treasury coupons }, so
    • { Buy pre-Event debt }, thereby
    • lowering yields to match Event ]
  • -> [ at the Long-end : 
    • { pre-Event coupons } are marginally Smaller than { Expected future treasury coupons }, so 
    • { Sell pre-Event debt }, thereby
    • raising yields to match Expectations for the future ]

... study notes, on end-2024 bond markets.


Further notes :
Trying to understand how the Fed's RRP balance and the yield curve interact, via the Fed's choice between selling bonds, notes, and bills.

No comments :

Post a Comment