2026-01-12 at

contingency : the dissolution of Malaysia

Separation of Sabah and Sarawak S&S from Malaya M, within the next 10-15 years, was an interesting subject over tea. It would appear to be on everyone's war board, even though it's not common in the mass media. 

- S&S seats are currently propping up a federal coalition government 

- M internal politics being highly fragmented, lends itself to the situation above

- once oil revenues are relocalised to, and parliamentary seats expanded for, S&S, will all parties simply decide that there is limited benefit to one another, and that separation will yield both 

1. Malaya with a stable Malay majority of 58-66%

2. Sabah with a stable Muslim majority of 60-69%

3. Sarawak with a stable non-Muslim majority of 60-70%

?

- If the official statistics are hidden, incorrect, or incorrectly cited, that presents one class of obfuscation. The dispensation of ICs ( see RCI ) and the truth and falsity of religious declarations on ICs, determining race due to constitutional definition, interspersed with proselytism and conversion, simply make things more complicated

- bear in mind, Malaysia exists simply as a result of trying to ratio Chinese voters out of majority positions, due to the threat that Communist forces would seek to overthrow the incumbent non-tanky governments of Singapore+S&S ( seeking security support from Malaya ), and Malaya ( seeking non-Chinese voters from S&S, to balance an influx from Singapore, while seeking to adjust Singapore in order to avoid becoming neighbours with a sovereign communist state ). At this point in history, the communist threat exists only as a matter of grassroots polemic, with the fall of the USSR, and industrialisation of China's political machinery

- the main hurdles to independent nationhood for S&S are the fear that their local politicians lack administrative competence, and the lack good judgment to say, hire an operations-oriented consulting firm to streamline the implementation of administrative infrastructure over the course of say 5-15 years

Lots of fun stuff to keep a finger on, year to year. 

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